Brothers, is the "holiday gift coins" of the Christmas market really worth looking forward to?
Since 1950, I have been counting, and the probability of the S&P 500 rising during this period is as high as 80%.
Looking at the recent performance (taking the S&P 500 as an example):
2016 Christmas increase 0.40% → 2017 annual increase 19.42%
2017 Christmas rise 1.10%→2018 annual drop -6.24%
2018 Christmas increase 1.30% → 2019 annual increase 29.68%
2019 Christmas increase 0.30% → 2020 annual increase 16.26%
2020 Christmas increase 1.00% → 2021 annual increase 26.89%
2021 Christmas rise 1.40%→2022

Understand the Kelly Formula in One Chart and Transform Your Investment Perception
Why do top gamblers never go All In?
Leeks usually only consider "rise" or "fall," but the Kelly formula tells us we need to consider these factors: the probability of rising, the potential upside, the probability of falling, the potential downside, and then calculate the position size.
First, let's discuss the core of the Kelly formula: investing is probability theory:
Don’t be greedy: Even with a high win rate, don’t "all in" in one shot, or you could lose everything in a single failure.
Don’t be conservative:

Urgent Notice! Announcement from a location in Hubei: Searching for the original owner of 1.9 million USDT tokens.
Recently, Jiayu Public Security in Xianning City, Hubei, issued a notice seeking the original owner of virtual currency involved in a blackmail case. There are approximately 1.9 million USDT tokens in the virtual currency wallet.
According to the latest market calculation data, the value is approximately 13.4336 million RMB.

The ultimate goal of making money is "compound interest," and the trump card for turning things around is "cutting losses."
Brothers, let's skip the talk about cycles and get straight to the point.
Let's talk about two words: making money.
No, actually, it's four words: compound interest and cutting losses.
If you truly understand these two things, it'll be hard for you to stay poor in this lifetime.
For these two terms, you either haven't heard of them, or you've misunderstood them.
Dreaming about getting rich overnight is gambling, not making money.
Real money-making experts are single-minde

Brothers, trading is a long journey. Don’t always think about taking shortcuts through luck, and never let a single mistake make you lose everything.
The key is to move forward steadily and ultimately reach your goal.
Don’t try to save a sinking boat when the debt can’t be salvaged. If the boat is already sinking, there’s nothing left to save—just cut your losses.
Money in the crypto space is a proud thing. It can see right through your deepest weaknesses and will test you over and over again, taking on forms that tempt or scare you.
These tests are not just about the knowledge you’ve accumula

Understanding at a Glance: BlackRock 2026 Global Investment Outlook
Core Logic First: Over the next 5-10 years, the world will shift from being "monetary-driven" to "fiscal capitalism", with geopolitics and AI becoming structural dominant forces, marking a transition from the "era of liquidity" to the "era of structural reshaping".
▶ Three Major Simultaneous Turning Points
1. Economic System: Shifting from "low inflation + low interest rates" to "high interest rates + high fiscal spending + high debt", with fiscal policy taking the lead and amplified interest rate volatility.
2. Geopolitics: M

Brothers, the financial reports for Q3 2025 of the seven Chinese concept stocks have been released, and the performance differences among several companies are too obvious!
Market Value Leader: Tencent firmly ranks first with a market capitalization of 725.4 billion USD, which is several times larger than that of other companies.
Stock price increase "dark horse": Alibaba has soared 91.89% this year, while Kuaishou has also shown strong momentum with a 67.11% rise.
Revenue and price-to-earnings ratios vary, and this Q3 earnings report clearly reveals the recent status of several Chinese compan

December Major Financial Events in the US Stock Market / Crypto World

Cognitive Awakening! It is suggested that every fan should read these 6 books as early as possible!
Over the years, I have read many books, but there are actually not many good ones that can truly impact my understanding and give me a sense of "kneeling."
Today I sorted out the 6 books that have helped me the most in enhancing my understanding to share with you. Each one is a book that I have read more than once and firmly believe I will continue to read repeatedly in the future.
Value
"What you choose is not the only important thing; what you do not choose is equally important."
This book int

In order for the brothers to have a clearer understanding of the AI narrative strategies of the major US stocks, this chart was specially created.
To be honest, the "closed-loop feeding game" of AI giants is really freaking exciting!
Nvidia plans to invest $100 billion in OpenAI → OpenAI will purchase $300 billion in computing power from Oracle over five years → Oracle will then buy GB200 in bulk from Nvidia → The money goes back to Nvidia.
Microsoft has invested over $13 billion in OpenAI → OpenAI uses this money to buy Azure (underlying Nvidia GPUs) → Nvidia then makes a reverse investment i

How does Buffett quickly analyze a stock?
Warren Buffett often selects stocks by analyzing financial statements. In the book "Jumping in Tap Dance to Work," a reporter asked Buffett: Where do your ideas come from? He replied: Just by reading; my daily job is reading.
Through reading the annual report, analyze specific financial indicators for preliminary screening.
1. Return on Equity
This indicator reflects the company's ability to utilize capital, commonly represented by the formula ROE = Net Profit / Average Net Assets. It can also be broken down into three elements using the DuPont ana

One chart to understand: The top 10 giants in 10 major sectors of Chinese finance (streamlined version)

One diagram to understand: the 9 "lifelines" of company equity, whether you are brothers starting a business as bosses, becoming shareholders, or working in the workplace, can help avoid pitfalls!
67% "Absolute Control Line": Holding more than 2/3 of shares allows for decisive control over major matters such as company mergers and amendments to the articles of association, directly wielding absolute decision-making power.
51% "Relative Control Line": Holding more than half of the shares allows one to determine executives, set annual goals, and have the final say in major operational matters.
3

Brothers, based on the voting predictions made from the statements of the Fed officials (specially charted), the ratio of the number of officials supporting no rate cut in December to those supporting a rate cut may be 5:7, with the rate cut leading by 2 votes. This situation means that as long as one member from the PI side wavers, both sides will be tied.
The Fed is torn apart, as there has never been a Federal Reserve meeting with 4 dissenting votes since 1992, let alone 5.
Therefore, in order to maintain the appearance of harmony, December is highly likely to see a hawkish rate cut, which