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#加密市场观察 What will happen to the crypto market in 2026?
📈 Looking ahead to 2026, the crypto market will face both opportunities and challenges:
Regulatory benefits: High-quality projects will attract more funding, increasing market concentration
Technological innovation acceleration: AI+Web3, ZK-Rollup, modular blockchain, and other technologies will become hotspots
Global competition intensifies: Regulatory policies in different countries will diverge, potentially leading to multiple crypto asset centers
What changes do you think the crypto market will experience in 2026? Feel free to leave a
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ShizukaKazuvip
#加密市场观察 What will happen to the crypto market in 2026?
📈 Looking ahead to 2026, the crypto market will face both opportunities and challenges:
Regulatory benefits: High-quality projects will attract more funding, increasing market concentration
Technological innovation acceleration: AI+Web3, ZK-Rollup, modular blockchain, and other technologies will become hotspots
Global competition intensifies: Regulatory policies in different countries will diverge, potentially leading to multiple crypto asset centers
What changes do you think the crypto market will experience in 2026? Feel free to leave a comment below and share your views!
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#特朗普取消对欧关税威胁 Trump Eases Tariffs on Europe, Global Political, Economic, and Crypto Markets Enter a New Phase of Linkage!
Recently, the global political, economic, and financial markets have shown multiple signs of change. On one hand, the Trump administration is adjusting its strategy toward Europe, reaching a cooperation framework with NATO on Greenland and the Arctic, and canceling tariff threats; on the other hand, the crypto asset sector is seeing frequent moves, with institutional deployments, industry leaders' predictions, and regulatory breakthroughs all making efforts. Coupled with exp
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Ryakpandavip
#特朗普取消对欧关税威胁 Trump Eases Tariffs on Europe, Global Political, Economic, and Crypto Markets Enter a New Phase of Linkage!
Recently, the global political, economic, and financial markets have shown multiple signs of change. On one hand, the Trump administration is adjusting its strategy toward Europe, reaching a cooperation framework with NATO on Greenland and the Arctic, and canceling tariff threats; on the other hand, the crypto asset sector is seeing frequent moves, with institutional deployments, industry leaders' predictions, and regulatory breakthroughs all making efforts. Coupled with expectations of Federal Reserve personnel changes, the market is entering a critical period of multiple variables intertwining.
On the geopolitical front, the Trump administration's attitude toward Europe has noticeably softened, temporarily cooling the game over Greenland. On January 21, local time, Trump announced in Davos that he had reached a "future agreement framework" with NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg on cooperation regarding Greenland and the Arctic region, simultaneously canceling the tariff threat originally scheduled to take effect on February 1 against eight European countries. This shift does not mean the U.S. is abandoning its core demands but rather shifting from "tariff coercion" to "framework negotiations." Trump repeatedly emphasized Greenland's strategic importance to the U.S. "Golden Dome" missile defense system, while also listing security and minerals as two core interests.
It is worth noting that this framework resembles more of a "directional roadmap" rather than a concrete agreement. Earlier reports indicated that NATO discussions involved Denmark ceding sovereignty over a small part of Greenland to the U.S. for military bases, similar to the UK’s military base model in Cyprus. However, NATO Secretary General Stoltenberg later clarified that the talks did not involve sovereignty issues. The current consensus is to shift the focus from sensitive territorial transactions to Arctic security cooperation and mineral development. The U.S. is more likely to achieve its goals by expanding existing military bases and gaining access to mineral development rights rather than directly touching sovereignty red lines.
In terms of implementation difficulty, subsequent steps still need to pass through "detailed clause refinement," "mutual recognition by Denmark and Greenland," and "balancing trade costs between Europe and the U.S." These are essentially temporary "band-aid" compromises, with long-term strategic negotiations just beginning.
On the crypto market side, institutional optimism aligns with actual deployment. Ark Invest released a report on January 21 with a startling prediction: by 2030, the total global cryptocurrency market cap could reach $28 trillion, with Bitcoin's market cap expected to hit $16 trillion, corresponding to a price of about $761,900 per Bitcoin—an increase of over 765% from the current $88,000. The core logic of this forecast is the strengthening of Bitcoin's "digital gold" attributes. As spot ETFs become more widespread, and corporate holdings increase, institutional participation continues to grow, gradually making Bitcoin a mainstream institutional asset.
Data supports this trend: by 2025, the proportion of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs and corporate holdings relative to circulating supply is projected to rise from 8.7% at the start of the year to 12%. ETF holdings are expected to increase from 1.12 million to 1.29 million coins, while corporate holdings could surge by 73%, from 598,000 to 1.09 million coins. However, the report also adjusted two key assumptions: first, due to last year's 64.5% surge in gold market value, the projected market size of digital gold was raised by 37%; second, influenced by the proliferation of emerging market stablecoins, Bitcoin's safe-haven asset status in these regions was downgraded, making the overall outlook more rational.
At the corporate level, efforts to deploy Bitcoin assets are accelerating. U.S.-listed Bitcoin treasury company Strive announced plans to issue Series A perpetual preferred shares to raise $150 million, with funds to be used for debt repayment, Bitcoin purchases, and related products. This financing follows shareholder approval of the Semler Scientific acquisition. If the acquisition proceeds smoothly, Strive will add over 5,000 Bitcoin reserves, increasing total holdings to 12,798 coins, further strengthening its crypto asset portfolio. The synergy between crypto and AI infrastructure has become a new hotspot in the eyes of industry leaders.
"Creative Winner" star investor Kevin O’Leary revealed that 19% of his investment portfolio is allocated to crypto-related assets and infrastructure. He has acquired 26,000 acres of land to build low-power consumption data centers for leasing to Bitcoin mining and AI data centers. In his view, power contracts and infrastructure have more long-term value than tokens, and he predicts that nearly half of announced data centers will "never be built." Regarding the token market, his perspective is quite sharp: institutional funds only recognize Bitcoin and Ethereum, while other altcoins have fallen 60%-90% from their peaks and are unlikely to recover. He also believes that the implementation of U.S. stablecoin yield regulation will be a key point for large-scale institutional entry. This judgment aligns with current AI development trends—global demand for AI computing power is soaring, data centers consume high amounts of electricity, and green, low-power infrastructure is becoming a necessity.
The integration of traditional finance and blockchain is also seeing new breakthroughs. F/m Investments, an ETF issuer managing $18 billion in assets, is applying to the SEC to become the first stock tokenized ETF issuer, planning to tokenize shares of its U.S. 3-month Treasury bond ETF (TBIL) on a compliant blockchain ledger. Unlike ordinary digital tokens, these tokenized shares will retain the original CUSIP code, enjoy the same rights and terms, and strictly comply with the 1940 Investment Company Act. This effectively adds a blockchain "layer" to traditional funds. If approved, it will set an important precedent for the tokenization of traditional financial assets. Additionally, uncertainty remains in U.S. monetary policy. Trump recently stated his hope for the reappointment of the White House National Economic Council Director, Brian Deese, and the Federal Reserve chair candidates have been narrowed down to two or three, with the final choice likely already locked in. As the global "weather vane" of monetary policy, the Fed chair's appointment directly influences interest rate trends and asset pricing. The subsequent developments will continue to impact market sentiment.
From geopolitical cooling to crypto market heating, from cross-sector attempts in traditional finance to infrastructure positioning, the current global market is in a dual adjustment period of political, economic, and financial ecosystems. Institutional optimism about crypto assets, the digital transformation of traditional finance, coupled with geopolitical and monetary policy variables, will jointly shape the market trajectory in the coming period.
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Ryakpandavip:
2026 Go Go Go 👊
#Gate广场创作者新春激励 2026 marks the shift of the crypto market from hype to “who is buying and where the money is coming from”
Entering 2026, the crypto market is undergoing a “fundamental upgrade”—prices may not surge wildly as before, but the market’s “underlying structure” is changing profoundly.
According to the latest annual outlook released by crypto exchange KK, these changes mainly stem from two aspects:
First, macroeconomic uncertainties (such as inflation, interest rates, and slowing economic growth)
Second, an increasing amount of institutional funds are beginning to dominate Bitcoin’s mo
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Ryakpandavip
#Gate广场创作者新春激励 2026年加密市场从炒作转变为“谁在买、钱从哪来”
Entering 2026, the crypto market is undergoing an "internal upgrade"—prices may not surge wildly as before, but the market's "underlying structure" is changing profoundly.
According to the latest annual outlook released by crypto exchange KK, these changes mainly stem from two aspects:
First, macroeconomic uncertainties (such as inflation, interest rates, and slowing economic growth)
Second, an increasing amount of institutional funds are beginning to dominate Bitcoin's movement.
KK economist Thomas Perfumo pointed out that although Bitcoin remains the "barometer" of market risk sentiment, the driving forces behind its price have changed. In the past, retail investors drove the market, but now, spot Bitcoin ETFs listed in the US and some corporate treasuries (like MicroStrategy) that treat Bitcoin as an asset allocation are influencing the market.
For example: In 2025, these institutional channels bought nearly $44 billion worth of Bitcoin, yet Bitcoin's price didn't rise significantly and was even somewhat "disappointing." Why? Because many long-term holders (such as early investors) sold their holdings to take profits, offsetting the upward pressure from new funds. The result: money came in, but prices didn't skyrocket—this is very different from the past when "funds would cause a surge."
Perfumo believes that the current macro environment is the key determinant of market direction. Slowing global economic growth, stubborn inflation, and slower central bank rate cuts all put pressure on risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.
He also warns: surface calmness does not mean safety. If market liquidity suddenly tightens (for example, banks or institutions withdraw funds), volatility could erupt suddenly.
Stablecoins and Regulation: Two Major Pillars in 2026
Besides institutional funds, KK highlights two key trends:
Increasing importance of stablecoins: USDT, USDC, and other dollar-pegged stablecoins have hit record-high circulation. They are not only trading media but also the "blood" of on-chain liquidity.
Accelerating US regulation: For example, legislation like the "GENIUS Act" for stablecoins and broader reforms in crypto market rules. These policies will determine "how money gets on-chain" and "where innovation happens" in the future.
However, institutional momentum may also face bottlenecks. The inflow of funds into Bitcoin ETFs in 2025 was slower than in 2024; companies that raised money by issuing stocks to buy Bitcoin now see reduced stock premiums, making financing more difficult. Without clear "market optimism" (risk-on sentiment), it will be hard for them to trigger another big wave.
Bitcoin is not gold, but it can help diversify risk
Renowned investor Cathie Wood also expressed similar views in her 2026 outlook. She pointed out that in 2025, gold rose 65%, while Bitcoin fell 6%. But don’t forget, gold can be mined continuously, whereas the total supply of Bitcoin is forever capped at 21 million—making it more scarce. More importantly, Bitcoin's correlation with other mainstream assets (like stocks and bonds) is very low. Wood even said, "The correlation between Bitcoin and gold is lower than that between the S&P 500 and bonds." This means that if you want your portfolio to be more stable during turbulent times and pursue higher returns, Bitcoin is actually a good "risk diversification tool."
Will it rise to $100,000 next? For short-term traders, the most concerned question is: Is Bitcoin's recent surge to $100,000 a real breakout or just a temporary breather? Ruslan Lienkha, Head of Market at YouHodler, believes that compared to US stocks, Bitcoin is now significantly undervalued. He expects the price to either pull back to around $90,000 to test support or continue upward to $100,000—this level will become the next key threshold.
Not just Bitcoin, the entire industry is evolving
KK also mentions that in 2026, bigger opportunities may lie not in Bitcoin itself but in asset tokenization and DeFi (Decentralized Finance).
For example, turning real estate, bonds, or even stocks of large companies like Apple or Microsoft into digital tokens on the blockchain. Standard Chartered Bank is optimistic about this, especially believing that Ethereum will benefit the most, as many institutions are moving real-world assets onto Ethereum. Over the past year, such tokenized assets have grown rapidly. If in the future ordinary people can buy and sell "tokenized US stocks" via their phones, it will bring a whole new global demand and on-chain trading activity.
In summary: The crypto market in 2026 may no longer be the familiar "boom and bust" cycle, but a "stress test" driven by macroeconomics, institutional behavior, and regulatory frameworks.
Who is buying, how the money enters, and how rules are set—these "underlying rule" changes may be more important than price itself.
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GateUser-bff62be7vip:
2026 Go Go Go 👊
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#Gate广场创作者新春激励 Bitcoin and Ethereum January 16 Evening Price Analysis
Bitcoin continued its sideways upward trend this evening. After a slight dip to around 95,400 (intraday low) in the early session, it quickly rebounded, boosted by US CPI data below expectations. It broke through 97,000 (intraday high) in the evening and is currently consolidating around 96,500. The intraday range is about 1,600 points, with trading volume increasing by 25% compared to the same period yesterday (driven by Bitcoin ETF fund inflows). Market bullish sentiment is rising but cautious at high levels. Technical ind
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Ryakpandavip
#Gate广场创作者新春激励 Bitcoin and Ethereum January 16 Evening Price Analysis
Bitcoin continued its sideways upward trend this evening. After a slight dip to around 95,400 (intraday low) in the early session, it quickly rebounded, boosted by US CPI data below expectations. It broke through 97,000 (intraday high) in the evening and is currently consolidating around 96,500. The intraday range is about 1,600 points, with trading volume increasing by 25% compared to the same period yesterday (driven by Bitcoin ETF fund inflows). Market bullish sentiment is rising but cautious at high levels. Technical indicators show a bullish structure, with the daily MA5 (95,600) and MA10 (94,800) crossing upward, and the price remaining above all moving averages. Yesterday’s candlestick confirmed that the 95,000 USDT support is effective. The hourly RSI remains around 58 in a bullish zone, and the MACD shows decreasing red bars, indicating slightly weakening short-term upward momentum.
On the news front, US CPI data below expectations reinforce the Fed’s rate cut expectations. The daily net inflow of $723 million into Bitcoin ETFs supports market sentiment. However, there is significant selling pressure in the 97,000-97,500 region, making it difficult to break higher and resulting in a sideways consolidation pattern.
Ethereum (ETH)) January 16 Evening Price Analysis
Ethereum continued its previous rally pace, consolidating around 3,250 USDT yesterday evening before rising in sync with Bitcoin. Today evening, it reached a high of 3,450 USDT (intraday high) before slightly pulling back. It is now consolidating around 3,420 USDT with a range of about 200 points. Trading volume increased by 25% compared to the same period yesterday (24-hour increase of 3.5%), with no clear independent trend, mainly following the overall cryptocurrency market rhythm. Technical indicators show a synchronized bullish structure, with the daily MA5 (3,350 USDT) and MA10 (3,280 USDT) crossing upward, and the price staying above all moving averages. Yesterday’s candlestick confirmed that the short-term support at 3,250 USDT remains effective. The hourly RSI stays around 58 in a bullish zone, and the MACD shows decreasing red bars, indicating short-term correction momentum.
On the news front, supported by positive US CPI data, Bitcoin ETF fund inflows, and market expectations of SEC crypto reforms, but if Bitcoin’s market share drops below 57.3%, funds may flow elsewhere, making it difficult to break the current sideways pattern in the short term.
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#Gate广场创作者新春激励 SEC Chairman Sparks Fire, Cryptocurrency "Soars Overnight"! "Lethal Threat" Emerges Suddenly, What Is the Impact?
Cryptocurrency is once again booming! Last night, the crypto market continued to explode, with Bitcoin briefly surpassing $96,500 this morning and Ethereum reaching $3,380. Other coins also experienced collective surges. So, what exactly happened? Analysts believe there are three main reasons:
First, on the 12th, SEC Chairman Paul Atkins stated on social platform X that this week is crucial for the cryptocurrency industry. Congress is about to upgrade the financial m
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ShizukaKazuvip
#Gate广场创作者新春激励 SEC Chairman Sparks Fire, Cryptocurrency "Soars Overnight"! "Lethal Threat" Emerges Suddenly, What Is the Impact?
Cryptocurrency is once again booming! Last night, the crypto market continued to explode, with Bitcoin briefly surpassing $96,500 this morning and Ethereum reaching $3,380. Other coins also experienced collective surges. So, what exactly happened? Analysts believe there are three main reasons:
First, on the 12th, SEC Chairman Paul Atkins stated on social platform X that this week is crucial for the cryptocurrency industry. Congress is about to upgrade the financial markets of the 21st century.
Second, institutional demand has been reactivated.
Third, the recent performance of the US dollar has been somewhat hesitant. Meanwhile, some analysts believe that recently, Bitcoin has decoupled for the first time from the global M2 supply. Behind this may be a lethal threat: quantum computing.
Quantum computers are believed to have the ability to crack cryptocurrency encryption, making early blockchain wallets especially vulnerable.
The long-dormant virtual currency market suddenly surged last night, soaring sky-high. Bitcoin briefly broke through $96,500 this morning. Ethereum surged nearly 8%. In the past 24 hours, a total of 121,715 people worldwide were liquidated, with total liquidation amounting to $685 million. Besides economic data, Ryan Rasmussen, head of research at Bitwise, also stated that the instability of the global political and economic environment has fueled Bitcoin, including the collapse of the Iranian currency and the political and economic situation in Venezuela.
Additionally, the US Department of Justice has recently launched an investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Powell, which is also seen as a factor influencing market sentiment.
But there are three main reasons: first, regulation ignition.
On the 13th, Tim Scott, Chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, released the latest draft of the "Digital Asset Market Clarity Act" (CLARITY), which is expected to be submitted later this week for committee review. This legislation, which concerns the structure of the cryptocurrency market, aims to establish clear rules for digital assets, protect retail investors, ensure future innovation, and safeguard national security. Paul Atkins stated on social platform X, "This week is crucial for the cryptocurrency industry. Congress is about to upgrade the financial markets of the 21st century. Among the actions we can take for investors now, the most important is to bring digital assets out of regulatory gray areas." Second, institutional allocation demand has increased. Reports indicate that although confidence in Bitcoin purchases was not strong at the beginning of the year, and there were periods of continued hesitation, recent institutional market dynamics are beginning to paint a more positive picture. Data on Bitcoin ETF net inflows show that after last week's outflows, early this week, capital inflows exceeded $100 million on January 12. This broke the previous trend of outflows dominating institutional markets, indicating that short-term buying interest is beginning to re-emerge. Meanwhile, open interest contracts have also recovered to positive growth. This behavior suggests that liquidity, volatility, and participation in Bitcoin derivatives markets are increasing.
Third, the US dollar trend is relatively weak. US annual inflation data shows no additional inflationary pressure forcing the Federal Reserve to adopt more aggressive monetary policies. Therefore, the outlook for neutral or lower interest rates limits the dollar's ability to maintain stable buying in recent trading days. Currently, the DXY index, which measures the dollar against other currencies, is hovering around 99 points and has not gained new bullish momentum. The dollar's hesitation has increased the attractiveness of cryptocurrencies. Retail investors have not yet returned, and threats have already emerged!
Cryptocurrency analyst Darkfost pointed out that Bitcoin spot ETF has experienced the largest liquidity withdrawal in history over the past period. Since reaching a record high in October last year, over $6 billion has flowed out, indicating a weakening of institutional capital momentum. Additionally, the market currently lacks retail investor participation. Data from CryptoQuant shows that demand from small investors (purchasing between $0 and $10,000) is at a very low level, contrasting sharply with the scene during the previous bull market when retail investors flocked in. XWIN Research noted that the net fund flow on exchanges remains low, indicating that investors are currently mostly on the sidelines and not aggressively chasing highs or taking profits. Moreover, the market has also noticed that Bitcoin has decoupled from the global M2 supply for the first time. In a recent article on X, Edwards, founder of Capriole Investments, discussed how Bitcoin has recently decoupled from global liquidity. Historically, the percentage change of this cryptocurrency was usually similar to global M2 supply trends. But Bitcoin's year-over-year change has been flat in 2025, while the total money supply of major global economies has increased, indicating that Bitcoin has deviated from traditional liquidity. Edwards believes this is the threat of quantum computing to the network. Quantum computers are believed to have the ability to crack cryptocurrency encryption, making early blockchain wallets especially vulnerable. It is still uncertain when quantum machines will achieve breakthroughs, but Edwards, the founder of Capriole, believes BTC has entered the "quantum event horizon" by 2025. In theory, parties with sufficiently advanced quantum computers could invade old dormant wallets and sell them into the market. This would not only directly impact Bitcoin's price but could also undermine broader trust in cryptocurrencies themselves. However, some investors do not believe Edwards' inference.
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GateUser-3c322b15vip:
New Year Wealth Explosion 🤑
#Gate广场创作者新春激励 Focus on tonight at 21:30, why does the US December CPI matter to the world?
Tonight (January 13th) at 21:30, an economic data release that can make the global financial markets "hold their breath" is coming — the US December Consumer Price Index (CPI).
Some may ask: Isn’t CPI just a price index? Why is it so closely watched?
Let’s understand the background and the economic secrets behind this data.
What exactly is CPI?
First, clarify the core concept: CPI stands for Consumer Price Index, which is simply an "economic thermometer" measuring the change in prices of a basket of goo
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ShizukaKazuvip
#Gate广场创作者新春激励 Focus on tonight at 21:30, why does the US December CPI matter to the world?
Tonight (January 13th) at 21:30, an economic data release that can make the global financial markets "hold their breath" is coming — the US December Consumer Price Index (CPI).
Some may ask: Isn’t CPI just a price index? Why is it so closely watched?
Let’s understand the background and the economic secrets behind this data.
What exactly is CPI?
First, clarify the core concept: CPI stands for Consumer Price Index, which is simply an "economic thermometer" measuring the change in prices of a basket of goods and services that residents buy daily.
This basket includes categories closely related to daily life such as food, clothing, rent, transportation, and healthcare. By calculating their price changes, it directly reflects the inflation level:
- If CPI rises quickly, it indicates rising prices and strong inflation pressure;
- If it rises slowly or falls, it may signal deflation.
There’s also the concept of "Core CPI," which excludes highly volatile food and energy prices to better reflect the long-term trend of prices. This time, the market is focused on the overall CPI and core CPI for December.
Key Outlook: How will December CPI change?
Based on market forecasts, the US December CPI is likely to "rise slightly":
- Overall CPI is expected to increase by 0.3% month-over-month (compared to a 0.3% increase in November),
- Year-over-year, it is expected to rise by 2.7% (compared to December last year).
The forecast for core CPI is similar, with both month-over-month and year-over-year increases of 0.3% and 2.7%, respectively.
A critical reminder here: the CPI increase this time may partly be a "technical lift," not a sign of a real sharp rise in inflation.
What is "technical lift"?
Simply put, it refers to the missing price data in October due to the US government shutdown. When the statistical agencies calculated November data, they had to fill the gap with assumed values, which artificially suppressed some prices of goods and rents. By December, this "suppressed" effect may rebound, making the data look like it increased more, but this is a statistical distortion, not a real price trend. Experts warn to be cautious about monthly CPI fluctuations before the official revisions are made. Some experts from Oxford Economics even predict that December’s month-over-month CPI could rise to 0.4%, higher than market expectations, and that the true inflation trend may not be clear until mid-year.
Deeper Impact: What factors are influencing inflation?
Besides statistical factors, several key variables are affecting US inflation, making this CPI data more noteworthy:
1. The "ongoing pressure" and "approaching turning point" of tariffs
Starting from 2025, the Trump administration imposed "reciprocal tariffs" on multiple countries, directly raising the prices of imported goods such as food, clothing, and automobiles — all previously significant drivers of inflation. The good news is that this tariff pressure may be nearing a turning point. Experts say that inflation may slightly rise in early 2026 but won’t skyrocket. The impact of tariffs will continue for a while but won’t hinder inflation from falling long-term.
2. The "life-and-death" decision on tariff rulings
The US Supreme Court was supposed to announce last Friday whether Trump’s tariffs are legal, but the decision was delayed until this Wednesday. Lower courts had already ruled the tariffs illegal; if the Supreme Court also overturns the tariffs, the cost pressure on imports will gradually ease, and prices in related categories may cool down faster. But if tariffs are upheld, prices could stay high for a long time and be difficult to bring down.
3. Powell’s survey and non-farm payroll data’s "double boost"
Last Friday’s US non-farm payroll data (which reflects changes in non-agricultural employment and indicates the strength of the labor market) has led markets to believe that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates in January.
According to the CME FedWatch tool (which reflects market expectations for Fed rate adjustments), 95% of traders believe the Fed will likely "stay put" in the short term, with rate cuts more probable in spring or mid-year.
Adding to the complexity, Fed Chair Powell is under investigation by the Department of Justice for allegedly perjury, raising concerns about the "independence of Fed policy." Although Powell responded that decisions are based solely on data and law, this "political noise" has increased the importance of economic data.
Tonight’s CPI data will be a key reference for judging the Fed’s next move.
Final summary: Why is this CPI data so important?
In simple terms, although the US December CPI shows only a "slight increase," the timing of its release is particularly critical:
We are currently at a crossroads of uncertain tariff policies, controversial Fed policies, and complex employment signals.
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#我看好的中文Meme币 I am optimistic: I'm coming. The reason is the stacking of triple buffs, igniting market sentiment, and explosive growth happening in one go!
1. Opportunity buff: In 2026, the Meme coin sector will rebound strongly, with an overall increase of over 30%. Leading coins like PEPE and DOGE will take the lead, and market risk appetite will fully recover, laying a perfect foundation for new coin explosions. Coinciding with the upcoming Lunar Year of the Horse, the imagery of "Golden Dog Stepping on a Horse" carries inherent传播属性, resonating with the popular phrase "I'm coming" sparked b
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#我的2026第一条帖 Currently, the market exhibits the typical characteristics of a "calm before the storm." On one hand, from a macro perspective, recent comments from Federal Reserve officials about potential rate cuts have boosted market sentiment and provided support for crypto assets. On the other hand, technically, both Bitcoin and Ethereum have failed to effectively break through key resistance levels, causing prices to oscillate within a range. It is particularly important to note that during this low-volatility consolidation phase, market depth is insufficient, and any large order could trig
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ShizukaKazuvip
#我的2026第一条帖 Currently, the market exhibits the typical characteristics of a "calm before the storm." On one hand, from a macro perspective, recent comments from Federal Reserve officials about potential rate cuts have boosted market sentiment and provided support for crypto assets. On the other hand, technically, both Bitcoin and Ethereum have failed to effectively break through key resistance levels, causing prices to oscillate within a range. It is particularly important to note that during this low-volatility consolidation phase, market depth is insufficient, and any large order could trigger a sharp "pin" movement. Therefore, strict position control and setting take-profit and stop-loss orders are the top priorities for short-term trading now.
Bitcoin currently shows signs of both bullish and bearish momentum weakening. The 4-hour MACD indicates a bullish divergence, but this is only a sign of slowing downward momentum, not a reversal.
Ethereum's movement is correlated with Bitcoin but is relatively weaker. Its technical indicators also show short-term adjustment pressure.
Overall, the market is brewing the energy for a breakout in an environment of relatively low liquidity.
Main strategy: Before the price can effectively break through the above key range, adhere to a high sell and low buy strategy within the range, avoiding chasing rallies and panic selling.
Strict risk control: Operate with light positions and strictly set take-profit and stop-loss levels.
In low-liquidity environments, using limit orders can effectively control transaction prices and avoid large slippage caused by market orders.
Monitor variables: Pay close attention to how the price defends key support levels; a significant break below may indicate a deepening correction.
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#Gate广场创作者新春激励 Non-farm Payrolls Land Calmly, Market Awaits a Bigger Storm
On Friday evening (January 9), the US December non-farm employment data was supposed to be this week’s grand finale. However, the market reaction after the data release was relatively muted, and Bitcoin’s price did not experience the expected sharp unilateral move. This is not because the data is unimportant, but because market attention has been fully captured by another event with greater uncertainty. According to institutional analysis, although this data did not trigger intense volatility, the resilience of the US e
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ShizukaKazuvip
#Gate广场创作者新春激励 Non-farm Payrolls Land Calmly, Market Awaits a Bigger Storm
On Friday evening (January 9), the US December non-farm employment data was supposed to be this week’s grand finale. However, the market reaction after the data release was relatively muted, and Bitcoin’s price did not experience the expected sharp unilateral move. This is not because the data is unimportant, but because market attention has been fully captured by another event with greater uncertainty. According to institutional analysis, although this data did not trigger intense volatility, the resilience of the US economy revealed within it further solidifies the expectation that the Federal Reserve is not eager to cut interest rates in March. This continues to create a “headwind” for risk assets on a macro level. The true “eye of the storm” has shifted to the Supreme Court’s ruling on the legality of Trump’s global tariffs, originally scheduled for Friday but postponed to January 14 (next Wednesday).
The market generally believes that if the tariffs are ruled illegal, the US Treasury may need to refund importers up to $133 billion to $140 billion, which would significantly impact global dollar liquidity, far exceeding the influence of a single economic data point. Therefore, the calm on Friday is more like a prelude to a major battle—an anticipation and waiting period.
The short-term (next week) market direction is almost entirely dependent on the Supreme Court’s ruling on January 14.
● If the ruling rejects the tariffs: it could be seen as a major positive for liquidity release, potentially boosting global risk assets including cryptocurrencies, and pushing Bitcoin to test $94,000 or higher resistance.
● If the ruling upholds the tariffs: it means current policies and trade uncertainties will continue, and the market may remain volatile within the current range, paying closer attention to subsequent economic data to gauge Federal Reserve policy.
● Key support levels: regardless of the news, Bitcoin at $89,200 and Ethereum at $3,000 (and deeper at $2,800) remain critical positions. Maintaining these levels is essential for the market to stay in an optimistic structure.
Operational notes to watch:
1. Prioritize risk control, downplay predictions: Before major events, market sentiment is highly volatile. Keep positions at comfortable levels to avoid being wiped out in fluctuations.
2. Focus on support, follow the trend: Use $89,200 (BTC) and $3,000 (ETH) as short-term bullish defense lines. Be cautiously optimistic above these levels; if broken, switch to a defensive stance.
3. Be patient for directional signals: True trend opportunities often emerge after uncertainty is resolved. After the January 14 ruling, the market is likely to choose a short-term direction, providing a clearer window for trend-following operations.
A week of calm is about gathering strength, not losing direction. The crypto world is deeply intertwined with macro political and economic developments!
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#Gate广场创作者新春激励 “I’m coming, damn it” causes chaos—who’s next to die?
On January 8, 2026, Chinese retail investors were once again collectively harvested—just yesterday, bn launched its first Chinese meme coin—“bn Life.” It peaked immediately upon launch, then plummeted 80%, with tens of thousands of accounts wiped out overnight.
And today, even more surreal things happened: bn launched another Chinese token—“I’m Coming, Damn It.” Yes, you read that right. “I’m Coming, Damn It”—these five words are now a cryptocurrency worth millions of dollars in market cap.---
⚡️ Hellish level of mockery: Thi
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#Gate广场创作者新春激励 Link has recently shown a trend of large holders continuously increasing their positions. On-chain data indicates that the 0XF440 wallet has extracted 170,000 Link tokens from bn, worth approximately $10.89 million; the 0X1170 wallet has recently extracted 63,400 Link tokens from Cb (valued at $860,000), and has been accumulating Link over the past three months, currently holding 580,000 tokens with an average cost of about $12.5, totaling a value of $6.76 million. The continuous accumulation by large holders demonstrates recognition of Link's long-term value. As a core oracle p
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GT-0,57%
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LittleGodOfWealthPlutusvip:
2026 Prosperity Prosperity😘
Crypto Daily Report 01.07: Institutional Capital Flows Resume, Retail Scenario Adoption and Technical Bottom Signals Emerge
1. Continuous Institutional Capital Inflows and Long-term Market Outlook
Significant capital inflows into Bitcoin and mainstream crypto ETFs have recently occurred, driven by renewed institutional demand and improved market risk appetite. Meanwhile, Wall Street's influence on the crypto market has intensified, potentially altering the previous "parabolic" rally. Bitcoin ETFs attracted nearly $700 million in a single day, with Ethereum, XRP, Solana, and other ETFs rising i
BTC-0,39%
ETH-2,02%
XRP-2,35%
SOL-2,29%
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Annual good news, made possible because of you!
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#我的2026第一条帖 Good morning, friend😊
May 2026, someone asks if your porridge is warm, and someone shares dusk with you.
Let ordinary days have echoes, and trivial moments not be desolate.
May family members sit leisurely, the lights be warm; friends gather often, and laughter never tire♪٩(´ω)و♪
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LittleGodOfWealthPlutusvip:
2026发财发财
#我的2026第一条帖 Move forward safely, with a path full of blossoms. Wishing friends, myself, and loved ones
2026, peace, smoothness, warmth, and completeness!
May every morning and evening be filled with joy, and may companionship be constant from dusk to dawn.
May the mountains and seas be vast, all your wishes come true, the wind remains as it was year after year, and families reunite year after year.
Year after year, year after year, wealth and prosperity every year💪💪💪💪💪💪
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#我的2026第一条帖 In 2026, may you:
Have money in your pocket, not necessarily wealthy, but at peace.
Have someone around you, not necessarily lively, but warm.
Have light in your heart, so even if the road ahead is muddy, you can see the starlight.
Happy New Year, wishing you all your wishes come true in 2026!
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#2026行情预测 The current views of cryptocurrency market analysts show significant divergence.
Arthur Hayes, co-founder of Bit, remains optimistic, believing that market liquidity for cryptocurrencies has bottomed out in November. With institutional funds continuing to flow in, a new upward cycle is gradually beginning. He analyzes that the market weakness in November was mainly due to liquidity withdrawal caused by the US government shutdown. However, as policies shift and hidden liquidity is released, funds are accelerating back into the crypto space.
On the other hand, some analysts are more c
BTC-0,39%
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AYATTACvip:
Buy To Earn 💎
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#我的2026第一条帖 Dear partners, Happy New Year🎉🎉🎉❤️❤️❤️
The old year is bustling, the new year is bright. May 2026 be filled with bright days, smooth affairs, and lasting peace.
The sun shines daily, the moon glows nightly, may you be rich and prosperous, and live long and healthy. Wishing you a joyful and peaceful New Year, everlasting happiness.
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#加密行情预测 Liquidity is coming! The Federal Reserve once again employs the "money printing" tactic. Can the crypto market absorb this wave of capital outflow?
In the early morning, the Federal Reserve injected $16 billion into the banking system through overnight repurchase operations, marking the second-largest single operation since YQ. This move indicates that the financial market will see a short-term increase in funds and has garnered widespread attention from the cryptocurrency community.
What impact does increased liquidity have on the crypto market?
Historically, when traditional markets
BTC-0,39%
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