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1️⃣ Diplomatic Situation: Iran Sets Ceasefire Terms—Can the US and Iran Reach Consensus?
Iran has put forward three core conditions: recognition of Iran's legitimate rights, payment of war reparations, and international security guarantees against aggression. While the US shows intent to withdraw, accepting these conditions would amount to admitting aggression and undermining global hegemony—the probability of near-term consensus is extremely low. A "localized ceasefire plus prolonged standoff" scenario is more likely.
2️⃣ Oil Markets: Who Do You Favor? Forecast the Next Move in Oil Prices
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