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SOL Technical Outlook: Solana Holds Major Demand Zone as Bearish Structure Dominates
Solana remains under corrective bearish pressure following a strong rejection from the $225–$253 supply zone, where price topped near the 0.786–1.0 Fibonacci levels. This rejection confirmed a clear distribution phase and triggered a sustained downside move.
The sell-off accelerated once SOL lost the $203–$187 region (0.618–0.5 Fib), pushing price decisively below all major EMAs and establishing firm short-to-medium-term bearish control.
EMA Structure (Bearish Alignment)
20 EMA – $129.02
50 EMA – $141.43
100 EMA – $157.12
200 EMA – $166.80
All EMAs are sloping downward and stacked above price, meaning every rebound attempt continues to face strong dynamic resistance.
SOL is currently consolidating above the $123–$112 major demand zone, which aligns closely with the Fib 0 level near $112.50. This zone has previously acted as strong support, and recent price action suggests selling pressure is weakening, increasing the probability of a short-term relief bounce.
For bulls, the first level to reclaim is $152.74 (0.236 Fib). A daily close above this level would indicate early stabilization. A stronger recovery would require SOL to break above $171.99 (0.382 Fib) and then reclaim $187.55 (0.5 Fib) — key breakdown levels.
A full trend reversal would only be confirmed if SOL regains $203.11 (0.618 Fib) and holds above it, which currently remains unlikely without broader market strength.
On the downside, failure to hold the $112.50–$123 support zone would expose SOL to deeper losses toward $100, the next major psychological and macro support area.
RSI is currently around 38–40, reflecting weak but stabilizing momentum, consistent with consolidation rather than aggressive selling.
📊 Key Levels
Resistance
$129.02 (20 EMA)
$141.43 (50 EMA)
$152.74 (0.236 Fib)
$157.12 (100 EMA)
$166.80 (200 EMA)
$171.99 (0.382 Fib)
$187.55 (0.5 Fib)
$203.11 (0.618 Fib)
$225.26 (0.786 Fib)
Support
$123–$112.50 (major demand zone)
$100 (macro / psychological support)
RSI
38–40 — weak momentum, stabilizing
📌 Summary
SOL is consolidating above a critical long-term demand zone after an extended corrective decline. While selling pressure has eased and a short-term bounce is possible, the broader trend remains bearish unless SOL reclaims the $172–$188 resistance region with strength. A breakdown below $112.50 would open the door for further downside toward $100.
$SOL
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