緊急：以太坊 $3,000 回升受阻！需求減弱困住加密之王！

Ethereum (ETH) is desperately trying to claw back momentum after slipping below key levels, currently trading near $2,814. While long-term investors are providing a stable foundation, the entire recovery is being held captive by a single, critical missing piece: the essential inflow of new capital. Without fresh demand, reclaiming the psychologically vital $3,000 level is proving nearly impossible.

I. The Recovery Paradox: Structural Strength Meets Stagnant Demand

The current struggle for Ethereum is a fascinating battle between internal conviction and external apathy: Bullish Long-Term Foundation: The HODLer Net Position Change indicator is showing a steady incline, suggesting improving confidence among long-term holders. This rise signals that outflows are slowing, and these foundational investors are strengthening ETH’s structural support, setting the stage for renewed accumulation.The Critical Weakness: Despite this long-term support, the entire recovery is challenged by the stagnation in the growth of new Ethereum addresses. This metric is moving sideways, indicating weak interest from potential new investors. Without this crucial inflow of fresh capital, the buying power from existing holders alone is insufficient to drive an extended rally.

II. Key Resistance and The Path Forward

Ethereum is currently just 6.6% away from its major psychological and technical hurdle, but its path depends entirely on attracting new participants: Immediate Resistance: ETH is sitting directly beneath the psychologically significant $3,000 resistance level.Upside Scenario: If market sentiment shifts and new investors finally re-engage, Ethereum could successfully rally to $3,000 and flip that level into support. Successfully reclaiming this zone may pave the way for moves toward $3,131 or higher, invalidating the bearish outlook.Downside Outlook: If the stagnation in new address growth continues, ETH will likely consolidate below $3,000. The lack of external capital will either delay the rally indefinitely or expose the price to further declines.

III. Final Verdict: A Recovery Held Hostage

Ethereum’s price is trapped in a frustrating paradox: long-term holders believe in the asset, but new investors are missing. The path to $3,000 is blocked by a lack of fresh market participation, meaning that even strong internal support cannot overcome the external drought of capital. Until the New Addresses metric breaks its sideways trend and injects the essential new demand, the king of altcoins risks prolonged consolidation or further weakness.

⚠️ Important Disclaimer

This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and is based on technical analysis and market data. It is not financial advice, nor should it be construed as a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security or cryptocurrency. The cryptocurrency market is highly speculative, volatile, and subject to external factors. Readers must conduct their own comprehensive research (DYOR) and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.