Nick Timiraos: Forecast shows US December PCE inflation rose 0.37% month-on-month

Middle East Geopolitical Shock: Analyzing Hedging Capital Flows and BTC Pricing Logic Through Options Data

On March 1, 2026, a U.S.-Israel military strike resulted in the killing of Iran's top leader, triggering intense volatility in global markets. Traditional safe-haven assets like crude oil and gold rose, while Bitcoin faced significant turmoil. Options market data shows that institutional funds remain optimistic about the future, but hedging demand surged in the short term. Overall, the crypto market is expected to experience a corrective rebound after the panic, with particular attention to the $76,000 options maximum pain point.

U.S.-Iran Conflict » Analysts Say Bitcoin Bottoming Out, Market Focuses on Oil and U.S. Inflation Changes

The US-Iran conflict has driven up oil prices, raising concerns about inflation returning to 5%. Analysts believe that Bitcoin is relatively weak compared to gold, but when valued in gold, the bottom may appear this month, with a potential rebound to $74,000. Technical indicators show that Bitcoin has found support, while rising oil prices could impact the performance of risk assets.

10xResearch: Market positions have been cleared, but liquidity remains relatively weak

10xResearch in its latest report states that crypto market positions have largely cleared, funding rates have dropped to lows, and implied volatility has reset, but liquidity remains fragile. The US 10-year Treasury yield has declined, ETF funds experienced a brief net inflow, and options traders are adjusting their positions around key March events.

Last night's US-Iran situation review: Iranian high-ranking officials were attacked and killed, over 200 ships stranded in the Strait of Hormuz

The Middle East situation worsens, with the US and Israel launching large-scale airstrikes on Iran, resulting in multiple high-level officials being attacked and killed. The conflict impacts global energy and financial markets, with oil prices facing upward risk and a rise in risk aversion. The disruption of supply through the Strait of Hormuz could trigger inflation reassessment, leading to increased volatility in global asset prices.

Middle East geopolitical conflicts boost demand for safe-haven assets. What are the defensive assets?

The escalating conflict in the Middle East has triggered investor demand for safe-haven assets, including the US dollar, gold, and the Swiss franc. Shipping safety in the Hormuz Strait has become a focal point, with potential oil price increases possibly adding to global inflationary pressures. The stock market is facing re-pricing, with defensive sectors performing better, while Bitcoin experiences significant volatility amid market fluctuations. The UAE Securities Exchange will be closed due to the conflict, impacting economic stability.

Could AI Become a Time Bomb? JPMorgan CEO: Market Conditions Are Like Just Before the "2008 Financial Crisis"

Author: Ariel, Crypto City JPMorgan Chase CEO Warns: Financial Environment Shows Signs of 2008 Crisis Jamie Dimon, CEO who led JPMorgan Chase through the 2008 financial crisis and acquired two failed competitors, warned on February 24 that the current financial market conditions and some banks engaging in reckless behavior such as taking on high-risk loans for profit could trigger a situation similar to the outbreak of the 2008 financial tsunami. The current market situation is very similar to 2005, 2006, and 2007, with soaring asset prices and trading volumes causing excessive optimism among market participants. Some financial institutions are making high-risk decisions to generate net interest income. He expects that the credit cycle will eventually deteriorate again, although the specific timing remains uncertain. Dimon reviews last year's auto loan