Wintermute: Correlation between crypto and US retail stocks turns negative; US stock activity may serve as a leading indicator

BTC-0,33%

Odaily Planet Daily News: Wintermute’s latest report indicates that since the end of 2024, the correlation between retail funds in the crypto market and the US stock market has shifted from positive to negative. The report states that while retail funds have poured into US stocks at record levels, overall trading activity in the crypto market has become more cautious, with the total market cap of altcoins and retail activity declining in sync.

Data shows that the volatility ratio of BTC/NDX has continued to decline, dropping below 2 times in the first half of 2025. As investment tools like ETFs improve and cross-platform trading channels are established, the switching of funds between crypto assets and traditional stocks has become more convenient.

Wintermute believes that retail trading activity in US stocks is becoming an important forward-looking indicator for observing crypto market trends. Investors should consider changes in capital flow from a multi-asset allocation perspective.

View Original
Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third parties and does not represent the views or opinions of Gate. The content displayed on this page is for reference only and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Gate does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information and shall not be liable for any losses arising from the use of this information. Virtual asset investments carry high risks and are subject to significant price volatility. You may lose all of your invested principal. Please fully understand the relevant risks and make prudent decisions based on your own financial situation and risk tolerance. For details, please refer to Disclaimer.

Related Articles

Bitcoin L1 smart contract platform OP_NET completes $5 million funding round, with Further leading the investment

Gate News Announcement, March 12th, Bitcoin L1 native smart contract platform OP_NET announced the completion of a $5 million funding round. This round was led by Further, with participation from ANAGRAM, Arcanum Capital, Humla Ventures, Morningstar Ventures, G20 Ventures, and UTXO

GateNews21m ago

21Shares Analyst: BTC May Fluctuate Between $68,000 and $74,000 in the Short Term

21Shares strategist Matt Mena pointed out that March CPI data has been absorbed by the market. In the short term, BTC is expected to fluctuate between $68,000 and $74,000. After breaking above $75,000, it may enter the $75,000 to $80,000 range. Historically, BTC often rebounds more than 15% after geopolitical shocks, and a restart of rate cuts could accelerate the recovery.

GateNews34m ago

Paraguay issues Resolution No. 47/26 requiring platforms to provide detailed reports on cryptocurrency transaction information

Gate News Update: On March 12, the Paraguay National Tax Service issued Resolution No. 47/26 to strengthen tax regulation on Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. The new regulation requires crypto platforms and administrators to report detailed information on each user transaction, including wallet addresses, networks used, and transaction hashes. The scope of regulation covers cryptocurrency donations, inheritances, and NFT transactions exceeding $5,000 annually. This measure aims to incorporate digital assets into Paraguay's national tax system while complying with the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) anti-money laundering recommendations.

GateNews47m ago

BlackRock this morning transferred approximately 2,653 Bitcoins from a certain CEX, valued at over $187 million.

Gate News Report, March 12, Arkham monitoring data shows that BlackRock transferred a total of approximately 2,653 Bitcoins from a certain CEX through its Bitcoin ETF IBIT this morning, valued at $187.42 million.

GateNews48m ago

Bitcoin Core main development branch merges the Cluster Mempool update, which will be included in version 31.0

Bitcoin Core, the Bitcoin client, merged the Cluster Mempool update on March 12th, which is expected to be included in the upcoming 31.0 version. This update will redesign the way nodes handle unconfirmed transactions to improve block packing efficiency and optimize fee calculation. Version 31.0 is expected to be released in the second half of 2026.

GateNews51m ago
Comment
0/400
No comments