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#比特币市场情绪与技术面 I have been studying various Bitcoin indicators recently, and today I came across a new concept—the "Net Pressure Tilt Indicator." I feel like I’m starting to understand what the market is saying 🤔
According to the latest analysis, Bitcoin is currently in a very delicate state, with buyers and sellers basically in balance. But this balance seems quite fragile; analysts say that if it drops below $85,000, the decline could further accelerate. This makes me a bit nervous, especially since short-term holders are already at a 13.9% loss.
But the most interesting thing is that, histo

#比特币相对表现与市场现象 Just now while looking at the market on the exchange, I suddenly noticed a phenomenon—BTC, ETH, SOL and other mainstream coins all broke below their respective moving averages? 😅 At first, I thought I misunderstood, so I quickly looked up what "key moving averages" are, and then I realized this might mean that short-term trend funds are withdrawing.
A trader from the OTC circle explained that many traders are actually just following the trend; as long as the coin price stays above the moving average, there will be continuous buying, but once it breaks below, this part of the sp

#RWA代币化与资产 Recently discovered an interesting phenomenon, and I realized that my previous understanding of the crypto world might have been a bit one-sided 😅
It turns out that by 2025, the crypto market is undergoing a major transformation — shifting from the previous "all-in speculative" mode to a more stable structure backed by real assets. Just RWA (Real World Assets) has expanded from $4 billion to $18 billion, and this growth rate surprised me a bit. It feels like it's no longer just a pure numbers game?
The supply of stablecoins is also growing explosively, with over $20 billion flowin

#预测市场 Recently discovered Polymarket, a prediction market platform, and it feels like opening a door to a new world! 🔮 I just saw some forecast data about Bitcoin and was a bit confused — the probability of dropping below $80,000 in December is only 16%, but dropping below $75,000 is just 5%? How is this gap calculated?
Even more interesting, the probability of breaking $100,000 is only 5%, but a few days ago there was a prediction that the probability of reaching $95,000 was 25%... Does this mean everyone is a bit uncertain? 😅 It feels like prediction markets are like watching a real-time

Wait, James Wynn has turned bullish again? 😲 This analyst says that in the short term, Bitcoin could rise to $97,000, and he’s opened a 40x long position on Hyperliquid... I’m a bit confused, isn’t this operation very risky?
But after taking a closer look, he did close a short position and made $21,000, and now he's switching to a long. This big adjustment signal might mean something. Although his previous prediction of a decline wasn’t entirely accurate, isn’t the bullish signal more worth paying attention to? 🤔
What’s the current price of Bitcoin? How far is it from $97,000? The liquidatio

#稳定币市场 I recently saw some data that was quite shocking to me😳 The stablecoin supply has actually increased by over 50% year-on-year, and more than 20 billion USD has flowed into interest-bearing stablecoins? What does this mean...
I used to think stablecoins were just simple payment tools, but now I realize they are becoming a new direction for asset management. It feels like the crypto market is undergoing a significant transformation, gradually shifting from wild speculation to a more rational, asset-driven model. Although the $19 billion liquidation and margin calls sound frightening, it

#美国宏观经济数据 Wait, I think I just discovered something new 🤔 The Federal Reserve's new voting member is coming, and this Hamaek suggests that before spring next year, they will "freeze" interest rates? What does this "freeze" mean... just temporarily not changing the interest rate?
After reading this news, I finally understand. The Federal Reserve has recently been cutting interest rates continuously, but this new member feels something's off — she's more worried about inflation, this "archenemy" 😅 It feels like every time I look at macroeconomic data, there's a bunch of professional jargon fi

#稳定币市场与应用 Recently exploring the Solana ecosystem, I discovered a super interesting new thing — Kora! 🤔 I’ve always been troubled by Gas fees, having to pay extra for each transaction, feeling like I was losing out. Now the Solana Foundation has introduced a fee-free transaction solution, and the key is that you can even pay fees with stablecoins?
What does this mean? Simply put, I no longer have to worry about being "cut" by transaction fees. And it sounds like Kora has also moved the signing operations to a secure place, which should help with security. But to be honest, concepts like "fee

#比特币宏观表现 Recently, I came across an analysis claiming that Bitcoin will underperform gold and the US stock market by 2025. I was completely stunned😅
After looking into the reasons carefully, I realized it's not that Bitcoin isn't good, but that current energy is being diverted to AI. Imagine, instead of using electricity at mining farms to mine Bitcoin, it's now used to train large models—because the economic value generated by large models is higher! It's like all the money is chasing the place that can create new wealth.
And why is gold so strong? It turns out it's because of global instab

#BTC市场分析 Recently, I saw Wintermute's market report and discovered a very interesting phenomenon😍 Retail investors seem to be starting to flow back from various small coins into mainstream assets like BTC and ETH, and buying pressure has been consistently surpassing selling pressure?
This is crucial for a newcomer like me! I was a bit confused before, not knowing when to act. Now it looks like the market structure is tightening, and institutional funds have been continuously buying since summer... It feels like a signal for us to follow the smart money, first watch BTC's performance, and the

#永续合约市场动态 Christmas week liquidity contraction? What does that mean? 🤔 I just saw news saying that open interest in perpetual contracts plummeted overnight, with BTC down by $3 billion and ETH down by $2 billion... Feels like everyone is actively deleveraging?
This reminds me of the "liquidity" concept I heard in the chat group before, and now I finally have a bit of a sense of it. As the holiday approaches, market activity decreases, trading volume drops, and it feels like everyone is on vacation, making the exchanges seem quiet? 😅
The most shocking thing is that so many options are expiri

#稳定币市场发展 Recently, I’ve been a bit confused by the concept of stablecoins. I always thought stablecoins were just USDT, the US dollar coin, but then I found out the EU also has one called EURC? 👀 I just saw Circle’s data, and the circulation of EURC has already exceeded 300 million tokens and is still growing!
This suddenly made me think of a question—why do stablecoins need to be divided by country and currency? Does it mean that in the future, we will have to choose different stablecoins depending on the region when trading? It feels like opening the door to a new world, but I’m also a bit

Wait, I just saw an interesting news story—Big Institution Strategy has actually paused its Bitcoin accumulation?🤔 That caught me off guard; haven't they been stacking coins all along?
After taking a closer look, I realized that Bitcoin has fallen about 30% from its October all-time high, and now they are adjusting their strategy. Instead of continuing to buy, they prefer to hold cash to hedge against risks. They have increased their USD reserves to $2.19 billion, enough to cover 32 months of interest and dividend expenses.
This is actually quite enlightening for a newbie like me. I used to n

#比特币ETF产品 Wait a minute, I need to understand this piece of news thoroughly... Are institutions continuously accumulating at "high levels"? How should I interpret this? 🤔
I used to think that now was the top of the bull market and it was time to make a move, but it turns out that professional institutions are actually buying more at this moment. After looking at the data, I realized—retail investors are selling, while institutions are buying. These are truly two different worlds. ETF inflows reached $25 billion, yet Bitcoin's price actually dropped by 5.4%. The gap is really astonishing.
The

#比特币现货ETF 🤔 I just read an article analyzing asset performance in 2025, claiming that Bitcoin actually underperformed compared to gold and US stocks? That left me a bit confused...
After reading carefully, I understood some nuances. It turns out that after the launch of Bitcoin spot ETFs, this once "beast" has been gradually tamed, its volatility smoothed out, and it now resembles an ordinary tech index. Meanwhile, AI has become so hot that it has taken over power quotas, even Bitcoin mining farms have been converted into AI computing centers, which is outrageous😅
There's another point that

#Polymarket预测市场 Recently, I saw Bitcoin's prediction probabilities on Polymarket, and I was a bit shocked. The probability of Bitcoin reaching $100,000 this year has dropped from 10% to 8%, and the forecast of $95,000 has also decreased from 32% to 25%... What does this mean?
As someone new to the scene, I’m a bit confused. How are these probabilities calculated on Polymarket? Does it mean more and more people in the market are becoming bearish about the future trend? The numbers seem to fluctuate, which must reflect real changes in market sentiment behind the scenes. Interestingly, the proba

#比特币价格走势 Recently, I've seen a lot of news about Bitcoin price predictions, and I'm a bit shocked😲
Michael Saylor said that if Strategy can accumulate 5% of the total Bitcoin supply, the price could reach $1 million? I'm still a bit confused by this logic... Is it suggesting that large institutional holdings will drive up the price? Or is it because of reduced supply? Can someone knowledgeable explain this to a newbie~
I also saw Galaxy's analysis saying that by 2027, it could reach $250,000, but 2026 is particularly hard to predict, with fluctuations between $70,000 and $130,000. This soun

#代币估值与机制 I just saw a set of data that almost scared me... Among the new tokens issued in 2025, 84.7% of their FDV have broken out? What does this mean? It means that out of 5 new coins, 4 have fallen below their issuance price😰
The most heartbreaking part is those projects with over 90% decline, like Berachain, Animecoin—names I’ve heard of are actually among them. Overall, the FDV of these tokens shrank from $139 billion directly down to $54 billion, losing $87 billion just like that?
But after taking a closer look, it’s not all bad news. Aster increased by 745%, Yooldo Games rose by 538%.

#Pre-TGE I just discovered Binance Wallet's BTW Pre-TGE event and was a bit confused when I saw the point threshold of 216 points... 😅 It requires 15 points to participate, and the time is from 16:00 to 18:00 on December 22. I feel like I need to quickly calculate whether I meet the threshold.
But there's a very important detail that makes me a bit hesitant—the official clearly stated that the reward tokens will have a lock-up period, during which trading, transfers, or usage are not allowed, and the unlock time may not be announced in advance 😰. This means that even if you participate, you

#代币锁定与派发机制 Recently analyzing BTC's chip distribution, I realized that long-term holders are selling off in large quantities. What's the logic behind this? 🤔
After examining the data carefully, I understand that in the two months since the October crash, BTC's cost structure has undergone significant changes. The most shocking is those holding coins in the $60,000-$70,000 range; their profits have retraced so much from the high points, and now they are eager to cash out. I can understand this mindset—after all, no one wants to see their profits vanish.
What's even more interesting is that th